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Red43
944320.5
841020.9
1015611.5
Blue84
105835.0
234236.3
54917.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67782040601001204384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+33
Endgame+41
Fouls+41
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave3
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points17
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +22
6Coral scored#10
22Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
28Total teleop50
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
8Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
0Foul points0
43Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8410
#16
20.91.4
21.019.6
Auto4.5
Teleop14.1
End2.4
blue by 15.4
2342
#11
36.31.6
28.429.9
Auto6.3
Teleop26.7
End3.3
Second
9443
#27
20.51.4
23.622.2
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End4.0
blue by 14.5
35.01.6
31.332.9
Auto9.6
Teleop19.8
End5.6
Third
11.51.4
12.210.8
Auto3.0
Teleop7.8
End0.6
red by 4.1
5491
#33
7.42.0
5.07.0
Auto1.7
Teleop3.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsEarned