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Red111
287751.5
492517.9
964438.9
Blue31
362316.7
50113.8
172113.0
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1043905015020011131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+68Teleop
+80Endgame
+80Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +58
16Coral scored#4
56Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
6Processor points0
16Net points4
22Algae points4
78Total teleop20
Reef
7L4#2
7L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#6
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +80
0Foul points0
111Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.51.8
42.344.1
Auto15.0
Teleop31.8
End4.7
red by 34.8
3623
#28
16.70.6
14.313.7
Auto3.5
Teleop10.8
End2.4
Second
38.92.0
30.832.8
Auto4.4
Teleop33.4
End1.2
red by 25.2
501
#22
13.80.5
12.512.0
Auto4.1
Teleop8.3
End1.4
Third
4925
#13
17.92.6
13.215.8
Auto5.4
Teleop8.5
End4.0
red by 4.9
1721
#19
13.00.5
9.89.3
Auto2.0
Teleop9.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed