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Red84
124715.8
176841.6
1015611.5
Blue77
841020.9
964438.9
972910.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79662040601001208477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+13
Endgame+3
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave0
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points12
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +17
8Coral scored#13
28Coral points45
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
42Total teleop59
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
14Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
10Foul points0
84Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1768
#10
41.60.2
41.141.2
Auto5.4
Teleop33.2
End3.0
red by 2.7
38.91.0
32.833.8
Auto4.4
Teleop33.4
End1.2
Second
1247
#20
15.80.2
20.020.2
Auto5.0
Teleop7.6
End3.3
blue by 5.1
8410
#16
20.91.4
19.620.9
Auto4.5
Teleop14.1
End2.4
Third
11.50.2
10.811.0
Auto3.0
Teleop7.8
End0.6
red by 0.9
9729
#34
10.61.4
10.511.9
Auto0.9
Teleop7.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsMissed