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Red124
172113.0
54917.4
346769.0
Blue73
234236.3
492517.9
731413.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions927105010015012473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+35Teleop
+51Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points7
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +38
18Coral scored#13
63Coral points45
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
12Processor points0
16Net points8
28Algae points8
91Total teleop53
Reef
7L4#4
5L3#3
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#16
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
4Foul points4
124Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.02.4
60.462.8
Auto16.8
Teleop47.0
End5.1
red by 32.7
2342
#11
36.30.6
29.929.4
Auto6.3
Teleop26.7
End3.3
Second
1721
#19
13.01.9
9.311.2
Auto2.0
Teleop9.6
End1.4
blue by 4.9
4925
#13
17.90.8
15.815.0
Auto5.4
Teleop8.5
End4.0
Third
5491
#33
7.42.4
7.09.5
Auto1.7
Teleop3.5
End2.2
blue by 6.5
7314
#29
13.90.8
15.614.8
Auto4.9
Teleop9.2
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsMissed