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Red82
15129.3
870824.4
176841.6
Blue35
972910.6
49876.6
50113.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions782802040601001208235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+31Teleop
+41Endgame
+47Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +31
11Coral scored#4
41Coral points14
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
6Processor points6
4Net points0
10Algae points6
51Total teleop20
Reef
4L4#1
4L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#5
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
6Foul points0
82Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1768
#10
41.60.1
41.241.3
Auto5.4
Teleop33.2
End3.0
red by 27.9
501
#22
13.80.1
11.611.7
Auto4.1
Teleop8.3
End1.4
Second
8708
#15
24.40.1
20.120.2
Auto4.1
Teleop16.7
End3.5
red by 13.8
9729
#34
10.60.1
11.912.0
Auto0.9
Teleop7.7
End2.0
Third
1512
#24
9.30.1
7.77.8
Auto4.0
Teleop1.7
End3.5
red by 2.6
4987
#35
6.60.1
4.64.7
Auto4.1
Teleop2.6
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned7%Barge oddsMissed