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Red120
632856.6
362316.7
590214.7
Blue48
356612.6
841020.9
31930.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions978740608012014016012048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+58Teleop
+68Endgame
+72Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave6
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points3
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +44
15Coral scored#6
55Coral points23
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
77Total teleop33
Reef
9L4#3
4L3#1
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#9
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +72
4Foul points0
120Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.63.1
50.853.9
Auto12.6
Teleop34.7
End9.3
red by 26.5
319
#25
30.02.5
32.129.6
Auto2.8
Teleop23.5
End3.8
Second
3623
#28
16.73.1
13.216.4
Auto3.5
Teleop10.8
End2.4
blue by 4.2
8410
#16
20.92.5
20.918.4
Auto4.5
Teleop14.1
End2.4
Third
5902
#30
14.73.1
10.613.8
Auto4.7
Teleop7.6
End2.4
red by 2.1
3566
#32
12.62.5
18.115.6
Auto2.6
Teleop9.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsMissed