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Red105
234236.3
81111.8
66332.2
Blue176
490955.3
620130.2
346769.0
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66165050100150200250105176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+35
Teleop+59
Endgame+69
Fouls+71
AutonomousBlue +35
6Leave0
2Coral scored#10
10Coral points51
16Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +24
11Coral scored#23
41Coral points83
2Processor algae#1
8Net algae#5
12Processor points6
32Net points20
44Algae points26
85Total teleop109
Reef
4L4#16
4L3#6
2L2#5
3L1 · trough#6
23Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +71
0Foul points2
105Total score176

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2342
#11
36.31.6
29.430.9
Auto6.3
Teleop26.7
End3.3
blue by 32.7
69.02.0
62.864.8
Auto16.8
Teleop47.0
End5.1
Second
663
#12
32.22.1
31.533.6
Auto3.9
Teleop24.9
End3.4
blue by 23.1
55.31.5
52.453.9
Auto13.9
Teleop36.6
End4.8
Third
811
#26
11.81.6
9.511.1
Auto2.9
Teleop7.5
End1.4
blue by 18.5
30.22.0
25.227.2
Auto8.4
Teleop16.9
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned19%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed80%Barge oddsEarned