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Red122
9710.3
287751.5
105835.0
Blue107
127721.7
492517.9
801341.7
67%Model gave it33%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93814060100120140160122107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+19Teleop
+21Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave6
7Coral scored#2
35Coral points10
44Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +9
14Coral scored#14
52Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
62Total teleop71
Reef
9L4#7
4L3#3
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points6
122Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.52.4
45.347.6
Auto15.0
Teleop31.8
End4.7
red by 9.9
41.72.1
41.743.9
Auto9.1
Teleop26.7
End5.9
Second
35.02.4
33.235.5
Auto9.6
Teleop19.8
End5.6
red by 13.3
1277
#17
21.72.1
20.322.4
Auto2.3
Teleop14.6
End4.8
Third
97
#18
10.32.4
8.310.7
Auto2.5
Teleop5.4
End2.4
blue by 7.6
4925
#13
17.92.1
15.017.1
Auto5.4
Teleop8.5
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsEarned