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Qual 612025 NE District Granite State Event
Red101
15129.3
632856.6
841020.9
Blue44
731413.9
49876.6
31930.0
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1026005015010144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+37Teleop
+49Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave0
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points9
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +26
11Coral scored#8
41Coral points27
2Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
12Processor points0
4Net points4
16Algae points4
57Total teleop31
Reef
5L4#3
5L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#11
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +57
8Foul points0
101Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6328
#3
56.60.6
53.9→54.5
Auto12.6
Teleop34.7
End9.3
red by 26.5
319
#25
30.00.9
29.6→28.7
Auto2.8
Teleop23.5
End3.8
Second
8410
#16
20.90.6
18.4→19.0
Auto4.5
Teleop14.1
End2.4
red by 7.1
7314
#29
13.90.9
15.3→14.4
Auto4.9
Teleop9.2
End-0.1
Third
1512
#24
9.30.6
7.8→8.4
Auto4.0
Teleop1.7
End3.5
red by 2.6
4987
#35
6.60.9
4.7→3.8
Auto4.1
Teleop2.6
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsMissed