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Qual 622025 NE District Granite State Event
Red23
124715.8
356612.6
972910.6
Blue74
1015611.5
66332.2
50113.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions466502040801001202374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+35
Endgame+29
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave6
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +25
3Coral scored#7
11Coral points26
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
11Total teleop36
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#11
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
0Foul points22
23Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1247
#20
15.81.8
17.7→15.8
Auto5.0
Teleop7.6
End3.3
blue by 16.4
663
#12
32.20.4
33.6→33.2
Auto3.9
Teleop24.9
End3.4
Second
3566
#32
12.61.8
15.6→13.8
Auto2.6
Teleop9.2
End0.7
blue by 1.2
501
#22
13.80.3
11.7→11.4
Auto4.1
Teleop8.3
End1.4
Third
9729
#34DQ
10.61.8
12.0→10.2
Auto0.9
Teleop7.7
End2.0
blue by 0.9
10156
#21
11.50.4
11.4→11.1
Auto3.0
Teleop7.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed