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Red100
590214.7
105835.0
127721.7
Blue148
346769.0
669014.6
287751.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69147050100200100148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+72
Endgame+54
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave3
3Coral scored#7
13Coral points34
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +51
11Coral scored#21
38Coral points77
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
12Processor points12
4Net points16
16Algae points28
54Total teleop105
Reef
7L4#8
3L3#10
3L2#7
1L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#34
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
6Foul points0
100Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.00.7
35.536.2
Auto9.6
Teleop19.8
End5.6
blue by 34.0
69.01.2
64.865.9
Auto16.8
Teleop47.0
End5.1
Second
1277
#17
21.70.9
22.423.3
Auto2.3
Teleop14.6
End4.8
blue by 29.8
51.50.9
47.648.6
Auto15.0
Teleop31.8
End4.7
Third
5902
#30
14.70.9
13.814.7
Auto4.7
Teleop7.6
End2.4
red by 0.1
6690
#31
14.61.2
10.311.4
Auto4.3
Teleop8.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsMissed