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Red94
620130.2
596215.6
492517.9
Blue84
13834.9
234236.3
17614.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions637202040801001209484

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+8Teleop
+6Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points16
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +1
10Coral scored#10
37Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
51Total teleop50
Reef
6L4#5
5L3#3
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
6Foul points2
94Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.22.3
27.229.5
Auto8.4
Teleop16.9
End4.9
blue by 6.1
2342
#11
36.30.9
30.931.8
Auto6.3
Teleop26.7
End3.3
Second
4925
#13
17.92.3
17.119.4
Auto5.4
Teleop8.5
End4.0
blue by 17.0
138
#6
34.91.1
33.034.1
Auto7.9
Teleop19.0
End7.9
Third
5962
#14
15.62.3
15.117.4
Auto5.4
Teleop8.3
End1.9
red by 10.9
1761
#36
4.71.1
4.75.8
Auto1.8
Teleop1.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsEarned