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Red57
801341.7
54917.4
9710.3
Blue101
870824.4
362316.7
490955.3
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6510805015057101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+56
Endgame+44
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave3
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points20
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +49
5Coral scored#12
17Coral points42
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
0Processor points12
8Net points20
8Algae points32
25Total teleop74
Reef
2L4#7
2L3#3
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#23
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
0Foul points0
57Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.70.4
43.943.4
Auto9.1
Teleop26.7
End5.9
blue by 13.6
55.30.7
53.954.6
Auto13.9
Teleop36.6
End4.8
Second
97
#18
10.30.4
10.710.3
Auto2.5
Teleop5.4
End2.4
blue by 14.1
8708
#15
24.40.9
20.221.1
Auto4.1
Teleop16.7
End3.5
Third
5491
#33
7.40.4
7.87.4
Auto1.7
Teleop3.5
End2.2
blue by 9.3
3623
#28
16.70.9
16.417.2
Auto3.5
Teleop10.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
11%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsMissed