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Qual 672025 NE District Granite State Event
Red133
964438.9
50113.8
31930.0
Blue101
66332.2
731413.9
632856.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90123406080100140160180133101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+20Teleop
+10Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave6
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points17
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +34
14Coral scored#9
52Coral points32
1Processor algae#2
8Net algae#3
6Processor points12
32Net points12
38Algae points24
90Total teleop56
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#3
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
28Foul points6
133Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9644
#5
38.91.9
36.5→38.3
Auto4.4
Teleop33.4
End1.2
blue by 17.6
6328
#3
56.60.5
54.5→54.0
Auto12.6
Teleop34.7
End9.3
Second
319
#25
30.02.1
28.7→30.8
Auto2.8
Teleop23.5
End3.8
blue by 2.2
663
#12
32.20.5
33.2→32.7
Auto3.9
Teleop24.9
End3.4
Third
501
#22
13.81.9
11.4→13.3
Auto4.1
Teleop8.3
End1.4
blue by 0.1
7314
#29
13.90.5
14.4→13.9
Auto4.9
Teleop9.2
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed68%Barge oddsEarned