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Red55
801341.7
15129.3
81111.8
Blue66
54917.4
964438.9
127721.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions755002040601001205566

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+11
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave3
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
13Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +21
8Coral scored#11
28Coral points39
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
38Total teleop59
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points0
55Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.71.1
37.436.3
Auto9.1
Teleop26.7
End5.9
red by 2.7
38.92.1
17.019.1
Auto4.4
Teleop33.4
End1.2
Second
811
#26
11.81.1
6.35.2
Auto2.9
Teleop7.5
End1.4
blue by 9.9
1277
#17
21.72.1
18.520.6
Auto2.3
Teleop14.6
End4.8
Third
1512
#24
9.31.1
21.120.0
Auto4.0
Teleop1.7
End3.5
red by 1.8
5491
#33DQ
7.42.1
11.513.6
Auto1.7
Teleop3.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed