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Qual 92025 NE District Granite State Event
Red61
590214.7
31930.0
944320.5
Blue118
234236.3
620130.2
124715.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions876220408010012014061118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+47
Endgame+57
Fouls+57
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +33
10Coral scored#17
36Coral points61
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
46Total teleop79
Reef
3L4#7
3L3#4
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
12Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
0Foul points0
61Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#25
30.02.9
28.7→25.9
Auto2.8
Teleop23.5
End3.8
blue by 6.3
2342
#11
36.35.7
19.3→24.9
Auto6.3
Teleop26.7
End3.3
Second
9443
#27
20.52.9
29.8→27.0
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End4.0
blue by 9.8
6201
#8
30.25.7
21.1→26.7
Auto8.4
Teleop16.9
End4.9
Third
5902
#30
14.72.9
16.2→13.4
Auto4.7
Teleop7.6
End2.4
blue by 1.2
1247
#20
15.85.7
17.7→23.3
Auto5.0
Teleop7.6
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsEarned