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Red67
841020.9
105835.0
596215.6
Blue55
972910.6
66332.2
172113.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions755002040601001201406755

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+14Teleop
+24Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave3
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +4
8Coral scored#6
29Coral points23
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
37Total teleop33
Reef
3L4#3
4L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#9
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points12
67Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.00.0
25.025.0
Auto9.6
Teleop19.8
End5.6
red by 2.8
663
#12
32.20.9
20.619.8
Auto3.9
Teleop24.9
End3.4
Second
8410
#16
20.90.0
21.221.1
Auto4.5
Teleop14.1
End2.4
red by 7.9
1721
#19
13.00.9
5.74.8
Auto2.0
Teleop9.6
End1.4
Third
5962
#14
15.60.0
18.418.4
Auto5.4
Teleop8.3
End1.9
red by 5.0
9729
#34
10.60.9
21.420.5
Auto0.9
Teleop7.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsEarned