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Red15
492517.9
66209.6
17614.7
Blue21
50113.8
9710.3
870824.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49340204060801001201401521

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+4
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +2
2Coral scored#1
6Coral points4
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
6Total teleop4
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#0
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#0
2Game pieces#2
BargeBlue +2
6Cage & park8
6Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
15Total score21

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4925
#13
17.93.3
12.28.9
Auto5.4
Teleop8.5
End4.0
blue by 6.5
8708
#15
24.41.4
21.720.2
Auto4.1
Teleop16.7
End3.5
Second
6620
#23
9.63.3
18.014.7
Auto4.3
Teleop3.9
End1.5
blue by 4.2
501
#22
13.81.4
8.77.3
Auto4.1
Teleop8.3
End1.4
Third
1761
#36
4.73.3
11.48.1
Auto1.8
Teleop1.8
End1.2
blue by 5.6
97
#18
10.31.4
0.9-0.6
Auto2.5
Teleop5.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed19%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed