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Red53
669014.6
362316.7
731413.9
Blue179
490955.3
632856.6
176841.6
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6012205010015053179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+94
Endgame+120
Fouls+126
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave3
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points20
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +80
9Coral scored#23
34Coral points84
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#7
6Processor points12
4Net points28
10Algae points40
44Total teleop124
Reef
4L4#12
3L3#7
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +26
0Cage & park26
0Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +126
0Foul points6
53Total score179

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3623
#28
16.72.0
17.615.5
Auto3.5
Teleop10.8
End2.4
blue by 39.9
56.66.5
44.951.4
Auto12.6
Teleop34.7
End9.3
Second
6690
#31
14.62.0
21.019.0
Auto4.3
Teleop8.6
End1.6
blue by 40.7
55.36.5
30.136.5
Auto13.9
Teleop36.6
End4.8
Third
7314
#29
13.92.0
20.818.7
Auto4.9
Teleop9.2
End-0.1
blue by 27.8
1768
#10
41.66.5
29.335.8
Auto5.4
Teleop33.2
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsEarned