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Red110
81111.8
124715.8
287751.5
Blue136
346769.0
31930.0
234236.3
11%Model gave it89%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7110720406080100120140160110136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+38
Endgame+26
Fouls+26
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave9
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points7
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +45
11Coral scored#23
41Coral points82
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
65Total teleop110
Reef
4L4#9
7L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#6
21Game pieces#30
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
6Foul points6
110Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.52.6
37.840.5
Auto15.0
Teleop31.8
End4.7
blue by 17.4
69.02.5
42.545.0
Auto16.8
Teleop47.0
End5.1
Second
1247
#20
15.82.6
23.326.0
Auto5.0
Teleop7.6
End3.3
blue by 20.5
2342
#11
36.32.5
24.927.4
Auto6.3
Teleop26.7
End3.3
Third
811
#26
11.82.6
5.27.8
Auto2.9
Teleop7.5
End1.4
blue by 18.3
319
#25
30.02.5
25.928.4
Auto2.8
Teleop23.5
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned58%Barge oddsMissed