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Red118
944320.5
66332.2
801341.7
Blue31
596215.6
1015611.5
15129.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9963020408012014016011831

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+73Teleop
+81Endgame
+87Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave9
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +69
15Coral scored#3
55Coral points10
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
12Processor points0
12Net points0
24Algae points0
79Total teleop10
Reef
6L4#1
5L3#1
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#0
22Game pieces#3
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +87
12Foul points6
118Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.72.5
36.338.9
Auto9.1
Teleop26.7
End5.9
red by 26.0
5962
#14
15.63.5
18.414.9
Auto5.4
Teleop8.3
End1.9
Second
663
#12
32.22.5
19.822.3
Auto3.9
Teleop24.9
End3.4
red by 20.7
11.53.5
18.515.0
Auto3.0
Teleop7.8
End0.6
Third
9443
#27
20.52.5
27.029.5
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End4.0
red by 11.2
1512
#24
9.33.5
20.016.5
Auto4.0
Teleop1.7
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsMissed