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Red171
176841.6
172113.0
964438.9
Blue82
50113.8
870824.4
841020.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1026205015017182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+83Teleop
+83Endgame
+89Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +76
33Coral scored#15
119Coral points55
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
6Processor points6
20Net points8
26Algae points14
145Total teleop69
Reef
11L4#7
9L3#4
12L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
42Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +89
6Foul points0
171Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1768
#10
41.61.1
40.341.5
Auto5.4
Teleop33.2
End3.0
red by 17.2
8708
#15
24.40.0
24.324.4
Auto4.1
Teleop16.7
End3.5
Second
38.91.1
37.638.8
Auto4.4
Teleop33.4
End1.2
red by 18.0
8410
#16
20.90.0
20.920.9
Auto4.5
Teleop14.1
End2.4
Third
1721
#19
13.01.1
11.712.8
Auto2.0
Teleop9.6
End1.4
blue by 0.8
501
#22
13.80.0
13.713.8
Auto4.1
Teleop8.3
End1.4