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Red100
13834.9
669014.6
234236.3
Blue124
287751.5
15129.3
490955.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8512950100150200100124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+12
Endgame+6
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave9
3Coral scored#6
17Coral points31
23Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +5
10Coral scored#9
37Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
57Total teleop52
Reef
4L4#7
5L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#19
BargeRed +6
20Cage & park14
20Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points18
100Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2342
#11
36.30.4
35.636.0
Auto6.3
Teleop26.7
End3.3
blue by 19.0
55.30.2
54.854.6
Auto13.9
Teleop36.6
End4.8
Second
138
#6
34.90.4
34.234.6
Auto7.9
Teleop19.0
End7.9
blue by 16.7
51.50.2
51.050.8
Auto15.0
Teleop31.8
End4.7
Third
6690
#31
14.60.4
13.914.3
Auto4.3
Teleop8.6
End1.6
red by 5.3
1512
#24
9.30.2
8.88.6
Auto4.0
Teleop1.7
End3.5