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Red107
176841.6
172113.0
964438.9
Blue163
944320.5
632856.6
346769.0
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10117250150200250107163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+44
Endgame+62
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +28
6Leave0
2Coral scored#9
10Coral points44
16Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +16
16Coral scored#19
59Coral points67
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
12Processor points12
8Net points16
20Algae points28
79Total teleop95
Reef
6L4#10
6L3#10
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +56
6Foul points0
107Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1768
#10
41.60.2
41.541.6
Auto5.4
Teleop33.2
End3.0
blue by 27.3
69.00.5
67.267.7
Auto16.8
Teleop47.0
End5.1
Second
38.90.2
38.838.9
Auto4.4
Teleop33.4
End1.2
blue by 17.6
56.60.5
54.855.3
Auto12.6
Teleop34.7
End9.3
Third
1721
#19
13.00.2
12.813.0
Auto2.0
Teleop9.6
End1.4
blue by 7.5
9443
#27
20.50.5
18.719.2
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End4.0