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Red205
45759.5
179677.3
69493.2
Blue155
589577.0
162614.9
167652.0
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions207158100250300205155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+40Teleop
+50Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave9
8Coral scored#3
41Coral points14
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +19
29Coral scored#19
105Coral points68
3Processor algae#4
3Net algae#6
18Processor points24
12Net points24
30Algae points48
135Total teleop116
Reef
10L4#6
13L3#7
7L2#6
7L1 · trough#3
43Game pieces#32
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +50
0Foul points0
205Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#1
93.20.5
91.892.3
Auto21.9
Teleop59.8
End11.5
red by 16.2
77.00.2
76.076.2
Auto21.4
Teleop46.4
End9.2
Second
77.30.5
75.976.4
Auto25.2
Teleop44.5
End7.6
red by 25.3
52.00.2
51.051.2
Auto12.3
Teleop30.8
End8.8
Third
4575
#19
9.50.5
8.18.6
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End1.0
blue by 5.4
1626
#17
14.90.2
13.914.1
Auto1.7
Teleop12.2
End0.9