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Red193
33336.0
108951.6
179677.3
Blue107
910022.8
7543.3
999920.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18892050150250300350193107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+41Auto
+88Teleop
+86Endgame
+86Fouls
AutonomousRed +41
6Leave0
9Coral scored#2
47Coral points12
53Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +47
25Coral scored#17
90Coral points61
4Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
24Processor points6
12Net points12
36Algae points18
126Total teleop79
Reef
12L4#7
8L3#7
8L2#2
6L1 · trough#3
41Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +86
0Foul points0
193Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.31.0
74.275.2
Auto25.2
Teleop44.5
End7.6
red by 33.9
75
#14
43.30.0
55.655.6
Auto10.1
Teleop28.2
End5.1
Second
1089
#11
51.61.0
51.352.3
Auto15.1
Teleop32.2
End4.3
red by 28.8
9100
#13
22.80.0
17.017.0
Auto3.8
Teleop17.1
End1.9
Third
333
#4
36.01.0
30.531.5
Auto5.4
Teleop27.0
End3.7
red by 15.7
20.30.0
13.113.1
Auto2.1
Teleop10.9
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
92%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsEarned