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Red190
167652.0
245816.2
69493.2
Blue75
10228.5
167220.7
691151.9
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2031215010015025030035019075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+107Teleop
+115Endgame
+115Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave6
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points14
30Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +97
28Coral scored#9
102Coral points31
4Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
24Processor points6
20Net points12
44Algae points18
146Total teleop49
Reef
8L4#5
9L3#3
9L2#3
7L1 · trough#1
42Game pieces#16
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +115
0Foul points0
190Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#1
93.20.2
89.789.8
Auto21.9
Teleop59.8
End11.5
red by 41.3
6911
#21
51.93.8
49.545.7
Auto13.3
Teleop32.0
End6.6
Second
52.00.2
53.053.2
Auto12.3
Teleop30.8
End8.8
red by 23.5
102
#15
28.53.8
39.635.8
Auto8.6
Teleop18.1
End1.8
Third
16.20.2
24.825.0
Auto3.4
Teleop9.7
End3.1
blue by 4.5
1672
#31
20.73.8
28.124.3
Auto4.3
Teleop14.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
82%Coral oddsEarned15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsMissed