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Red126
69493.2
412249.6
Blue75
108951.6
53318.5
68979.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1898305010015025030012675

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+33Teleop
+53Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points17
23Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +30
14Coral scored#9
51Coral points31
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
79Total teleop49
Reef
4L4#3
6L3#3
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#16
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points2
126Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#1
93.22.3
89.887.6
Auto21.9
Teleop59.8
End11.5
red by 41.5
1089
#11
51.61.1
52.351.2
Auto15.1
Teleop32.2
End4.3
Second
4122
#20
49.62.3
58.556.2
Auto7.8
Teleop33.1
End8.6
red by 31.2
533
#32
18.51.1
23.622.5
Auto2.4
Teleop13.8
End2.3
Third
3.22.3
5.93.6
Auto0.7
Teleop1.5
End1.0
blue by 6.4
6897
#25
9.61.1
8.87.7
Auto4.6
Teleop3.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
67%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed