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Red104
71421.7
691151.9
201615.5
Blue116
589577.0
436116.7
45759.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89133050150200250300104116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+10
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
3Coral scored#5
14Coral points27
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +3
14Coral scored#12
49Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
6Processor points6
12Net points20
18Algae points26
67Total teleop70
Reef
8L4#9
4L3#3
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
104Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6911
#21
51.91.0
45.746.7
Auto13.3
Teleop32.0
End6.6
blue by 25.1
77.00.4
81.982.2
Auto21.4
Teleop46.4
End9.2
Second
714
#29
21.71.0
25.826.7
Auto8.8
Teleop11.5
End1.5
red by 5.0
4361
#28
16.70.4
19.519.8
Auto3.6
Teleop7.9
End5.2
Third
2016
#10
15.51.0
17.718.7
Auto1.3
Teleop11.5
End2.8
red by 6.0
4575
#19
9.50.4
9.39.6
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsEarned