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Red139
7543.3
201615.5
589577.0
Blue14
245816.2
167220.7
599228.2
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1868605010015020025030013914

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+105Teleop
+117Endgame
+125Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
0Leave0
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points3
30Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +78
16Coral scored#2
57Coral points7
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#0
12Processor points0
16Net points0
28Algae points0
85Total teleop7
Reef
9L4#1
4L3#1
6L2#1
3L1 · trough#0
28Game pieces#3
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +125
8Foul points0
139Total score14

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5895
#7Sur
77.01.2
82.281.0
Auto21.4
Teleop46.4
End9.2
red by 48.8
5992
#22
28.24.4
31.026.6
Auto2.5
Teleop25.5
End0.2
Second
75
#14
43.31.2
48.647.4
Auto10.1
Teleop28.2
End5.1
red by 22.7
1672
#31
20.74.4
23.719.3
Auto4.3
Teleop14.1
End2.3
Third
2016
#10
15.51.2
18.717.4
Auto1.3
Teleop11.5
End2.8
blue by 0.7
2458
#8Sur
16.24.4
25.521.1
Auto3.4
Teleop9.7
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
40%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed