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Red128
167652.0
851357.7
71421.7
Blue185
69493.2
87146.2
108951.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions156172050100200250128185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+47
Endgame+57
Fouls+57
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
9Coral scored#8
44Coral points38
44Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +47
11Coral scored#20
38Coral points71
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#7
12Processor points18
20Net points28
32Algae points46
70Total teleop117
Reef
9L4#11
4L3#7
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#6
27Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
0Foul points0
128Total score185

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8513
#23
57.71.3
58.557.2
Auto19.7
Teleop29.9
End8.0
blue by 35.5
694
#1
93.22.0
87.689.5
Auto21.9
Teleop59.8
End11.5
Second
52.01.3
51.350.0
Auto12.3
Teleop30.8
End8.8
red by 0.3
1089
#11
51.62.0
51.253.1
Auto15.1
Teleop32.2
End4.3
Third
714
#29
21.71.3
26.725.4
Auto8.8
Teleop11.5
End1.5
red by 15.6
8714
#16
6.22.0
5.77.7
Auto2.0
Teleop2.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed89%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsEarned