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Red58
27114.8
68979.6
999920.3
Blue61
5630.1
45759.5
2535.6
12%Model gave it88%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23960501502005861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+15
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points12
12Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +12
7Coral scored#8
24Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
30Total teleop42
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#13
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
58Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.31.9
8.110.0
Auto2.1
Teleop10.9
End7.3
blue by 15.3
25
#12
35.61.6
32.530.8
Auto5.7
Teleop25.6
End4.3
Second
271
#18
14.81.2
12.713.9
Auto1.7
Teleop11.7
End1.3
blue by 15.4
56
#27
30.11.6
34.432.8
Auto6.4
Teleop22.6
End1.1
Third
6897
#25
9.61.2
7.78.8
Auto4.6
Teleop3.2
End1.7
red by 0.1
4575
#19
9.51.6
9.68.0
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed