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Red108
436116.7
10228.5
181138.4
Blue105
179677.3
53318.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108122050150200108105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+1
Endgame+9
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +13
0Leave0
3Coral scored#6
17Coral points30
17Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +12
14Coral scored#14
51Coral points51
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
73Total teleop61
Reef
8L4#8
3L3#5
2L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
12Foul points0
108Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.40.8
40.139.3
Auto7.1
Teleop28.1
End3.2
blue by 38.9
77.30.7
75.775.0
Auto25.2
Teleop44.5
End7.6
Second
102
#15
28.50.8
33.933.1
Auto8.6
Teleop18.1
End1.8
red by 10.0
533
#32
18.50.7
22.521.8
Auto2.4
Teleop13.8
End2.3
Third
4361
#28
16.70.8
19.819.1
Auto3.6
Teleop7.9
End5.2
red by 13.6
3.20.7
3.62.9
Auto0.7
Teleop1.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsMissed75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed52%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsEarned