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Red75
167220.7
33336.0
53318.5
Blue73
691151.9
87146.2
5630.1
34%Model gave it66%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions901014060801201407573

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+6Teleop
Endgame+4
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points17
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +17
11Coral scored#7
38Coral points25
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
56Total teleop39
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
6Foul points0
75Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
333
#4
36.00.5
34.734.3
Auto5.4
Teleop27.0
End3.7
blue by 15.8
6911
#21
51.91.1
49.548.4
Auto13.3
Teleop32.0
End6.6
Second
1672
#31
20.70.5
19.318.9
Auto4.3
Teleop14.1
End2.3
blue by 9.4
56
#27
30.11.1
32.831.7
Auto6.4
Teleop22.6
End1.1
Third
533
#32
18.50.5
21.821.3
Auto2.4
Teleop13.8
End2.3
red by 12.3
8714
#16
6.21.1
7.76.6
Auto2.0
Teleop2.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsEarned