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Red192
589577.0
363736.3
179677.3
Blue115
412249.6
2535.6
71421.7
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232111050150200250300192115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+63Teleop
+77Endgame
+77Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave6
8Coral scored#5
42Coral points24
48Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +45
18Coral scored#14
66Coral points51
4Processor algae#1
7Net algae#4
24Processor points6
28Net points16
52Algae points22
118Total teleop73
Reef
11L4#6
8L3#7
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
37Game pieces#24
BargeRed +14
26Cage & park12
26Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +77
0Foul points0
192Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.31.0
75.074.0
Auto25.2
Teleop44.5
End7.6
red by 27.6
4122
#20
49.60.3
52.452.1
Auto7.8
Teleop33.1
End8.6
Second
77.01.0
81.080.0
Auto21.4
Teleop46.4
End9.2
red by 41.4
25
#12
35.60.3
30.830.5
Auto5.7
Teleop25.6
End4.3
Third
36.31.0
39.238.2
Auto7.6
Teleop21.1
End7.6
red by 14.5
714
#29
21.70.3
25.425.1
Auto8.8
Teleop11.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsMissed95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
95%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsMissed