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Red68
10228.5
249523.5
7543.3
Blue86
181138.4
45759.5
851357.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12812660801001201401606886

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+14
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave6
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points21
16Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +3
9Coral scored#10
32Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
50Total teleop53
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#5
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
68Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75
#14
43.32.5
47.444.9
Auto10.1
Teleop28.2
End5.1
blue by 14.3
8513
#23
57.71.4
57.255.7
Auto19.7
Teleop29.9
End8.0
Second
102
#15
28.52.5
33.130.6
Auto8.6
Teleop18.1
End1.8
blue by 9.9
38.41.4
39.337.9
Auto7.1
Teleop28.1
End3.2
Third
2495
#30
23.52.5
25.022.5
Auto5.5
Teleop17.7
End0.3
red by 13.9
4575
#19
9.51.4
8.06.6
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed62%Barge oddsMissed