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Red73
436116.7
255437.4
Blue139
599228.2
999920.3
167652.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6810605015020073139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+54
Endgame+66
Fouls+66
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +47
9Coral scored#20
32Coral points73
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
12Processor points6
8Net points20
20Algae points26
52Total teleop99
Reef
4L4#12
3L3#4
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +12
12Cage & park24
12Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +66
0Foul points0
73Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2554
#24
37.40.3
39.439.1
Auto11.7
Teleop23.2
End2.4
blue by 14.6
52.02.5
50.052.5
Auto12.3
Teleop30.8
End8.8
Second
4361
#28
16.70.3
19.118.7
Auto3.6
Teleop7.9
End5.2
blue by 11.5
5992
#22
28.22.5
26.629.1
Auto2.5
Teleop25.5
End0.2
Third
3.20.3
2.92.6
Auto0.7
Teleop1.5
End1.0
blue by 17.1
20.34.2
10.014.2
Auto2.1
Teleop10.9
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned