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Red143
162614.9
27114.8
69493.2
Blue63
201615.5
108951.6
245816.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1459805020025014363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+68Teleop
+78Endgame
+80Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points14
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +68
14Coral scored#6
52Coral points20
2Processor algae#0
8Net algae#2
12Processor points0
32Net points8
44Algae points8
96Total teleop28
Reef
7L4#3
6L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
29Game pieces#11
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +80
8Foul points6
143Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#1
93.20.2
89.589.7
Auto21.9
Teleop59.8
End11.5
red by 41.5
1089
#11
51.63.2
53.149.9
Auto15.1
Teleop32.2
End4.3
Second
1626
#17
14.90.2
13.814.1
Auto1.7
Teleop12.2
End0.9
blue by 1.3
16.23.2
21.117.8
Auto3.4
Teleop9.7
End3.1
Third
271
#18
14.80.2
13.914.1
Auto1.7
Teleop11.7
End1.3
blue by 0.8
2016
#10
15.53.2
17.414.2
Auto1.3
Teleop11.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
61%Coral oddsEarned14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsMissed