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Red104
2535.6
201615.5
167220.7
Blue102
851357.7
910022.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7597050150104102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+8
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +18
9Leave0
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points27
9Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +10
18Coral scored#13
65Coral points47
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
12Processor points12
4Net points12
16Algae points24
81Total teleop71
Reef
6L4#8
7L3#3
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#23
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
104Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#12
35.61.8
30.532.3
Auto5.7
Teleop25.6
End4.3
blue by 22.1
8513
#23
57.70.6
55.756.3
Auto19.7
Teleop29.9
End8.0
Second
1672
#31
20.71.8
18.920.7
Auto4.3
Teleop14.1
End2.3
blue by 2.1
9100
#13
22.80.6
19.720.3
Auto3.8
Teleop17.1
End1.9
Third
2016
#10
15.51.8
14.216.0
Auto1.3
Teleop11.5
End2.8
red by 12.4
3.20.6
2.63.2
Auto0.7
Teleop1.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsMissed81%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsMissed