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Red94
53318.5
71421.7
589577.0
Blue98
33336.0
999920.3
245816.2
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155660501002009498

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+18Teleop
+8Endgame
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave3
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points9
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +7
14Coral scored#10
51Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
65Total teleop58
Reef
5L4#5
8L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points12
94Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.02.8
78.375.5
Auto21.4
Teleop46.4
End9.2
red by 41.0
333
#4
36.00.4
34.334.7
Auto5.4
Teleop27.0
End3.7
Second
714
#29
21.72.8
25.122.3
Auto8.8
Teleop11.5
End1.5
red by 1.5
20.30.7
14.214.9
Auto2.1
Teleop10.9
End7.3
Third
533
#32
18.52.8
21.318.5
Auto2.4
Teleop13.8
End2.3
red by 2.3
16.20.4
17.117.5
Auto3.4
Teleop9.7
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsEarned