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Red69
7543.3
599228.2
412249.6
Blue115
2535.6
167652.0
10228.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1841445010020025069115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+27
Teleop+36
Endgame+46
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +27
3Leave3
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points27
3Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +9
12Coral scored#15
42Coral points55
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
60Total teleop69
Reef
5L4#8
2L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points0
69Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4122
#20
49.67.0
65.558.5
Auto7.8
Teleop33.1
End8.6
blue by 2.3
52.01.9
53.251.3
Auto12.3
Teleop30.8
End8.8
Second
75
#14
43.37.0
55.648.6
Auto10.1
Teleop28.2
End5.1
red by 7.7
25
#12
35.61.9
37.936.0
Auto5.7
Teleop25.6
End4.3
Third
5992
#22
28.27.0
38.031.0
Auto2.5
Teleop25.5
End0.2
blue by 0.3
102
#15
28.51.9
35.833.9
Auto8.6
Teleop18.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsMissed94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsEarned