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Red40
87146.2
249523.5
45759.5
Blue88
589577.0
162614.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions391390501001502002504088

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+44
Endgame+48
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave6
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points20
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +27
6Coral scored#11
21Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
31Total teleop58
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#4
1L2#3
0L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
0Foul points0
40Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2495
#30
23.50.3
28.728.4
Auto5.5
Teleop17.7
End0.3
blue by 53.5
77.01.1
83.081.9
Auto21.4
Teleop46.4
End9.2
Second
4575
#19
9.50.3
9.69.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End1.0
blue by 5.4
1626
#17
14.91.1
15.214.0
Auto1.7
Teleop12.2
End0.9
Third
8714
#16
6.20.3
6.66.3
Auto2.0
Teleop2.1
End2.1
red by 3.0
3.21.1
7.15.9
Auto0.7
Teleop1.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsMissed