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Red184
851357.7
27114.8
33336.0
Blue176
691151.9
910022.8
181138.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130130140150160180184176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+8Teleop
+10Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave3
8Coral scored#5
40Coral points27
40Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +2
28Coral scored#31
100Coral points110
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
128Total teleop130
Reef
13L4#15
9L3#8
6L2#9
8L1 · trough#4
42Game pieces#40
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points2
184Total score176

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8513
#23
57.71.1
56.157.2
Auto19.7
Teleop29.9
End8.0
red by 5.8
6911
#21
51.90.7
51.151.9
Auto13.3
Teleop32.0
End6.6
Second
333
#4
36.01.1
34.535.6
Auto5.4
Teleop27.0
End3.7
blue by 2.3
38.40.7
37.638.4
Auto7.1
Teleop28.1
End3.2
Third
271
#18
14.81.1
13.214.3
Auto1.7
Teleop11.7
End1.3
blue by 8.0
9100
#13
22.80.7
22.122.8
Auto3.8
Teleop17.1
End1.9