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Red143
108951.6
999920.3
2535.6
Blue132
412249.6
363736.3
10228.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1321216080100140160180143132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+1Teleop
+13Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave9
5Coral scored#4
23Coral points21
26Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +5
17Coral scored#14
61Coral points50
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
18Processor points12
12Net points24
30Algae points36
91Total teleop86
Reef
11L4#6
6L3#5
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#26
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points2
143Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1089
#11
51.60.3
50.750.9
Auto15.1
Teleop32.2
End4.3
red by 2.0
4122
#20
49.60.2
49.849.6
Auto7.8
Teleop33.1
End8.6
Second
25
#12
35.60.3
34.634.9
Auto5.7
Teleop25.6
End4.3
blue by 0.7
36.30.2
36.436.3
Auto7.6
Teleop21.1
End7.6
Third
20.30.4
18.719.2
Auto2.1
Teleop10.9
End7.3
blue by 8.2
102
#15
28.50.2
28.728.5
Auto8.6
Teleop18.1
End1.8