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Red141
589577.0
162614.9
167652.0
Blue91
851357.7
27114.8
33336.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16712205010015020025014191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+28Teleop
+50Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
3Leave0
10Coral scored#5
48Coral points26
51Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +3
11Coral scored#14
40Coral points51
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
64Total teleop61
Reef
9L4#5
6L3#7
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#21
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +50
0Foul points0
141Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.00.1
75.175.1
Auto21.4
Teleop46.4
End9.2
red by 19.3
8513
#23
57.70.3
56.456.1
Auto19.7
Teleop29.9
End8.0
Second
52.00.1
50.050.1
Auto12.3
Teleop30.8
End8.8
red by 15.9
333
#4
36.00.3
34.834.5
Auto5.4
Teleop27.0
End3.7
Third
1626
#17
14.90.1
13.013.0
Auto1.7
Teleop12.2
End0.9
red by 0.2
271
#18
14.80.3
13.513.2
Auto1.7
Teleop11.7
End1.3