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Red148
851357.7
27114.8
33336.0
Blue151
108951.6
999920.3
2535.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12513280100120140160180148151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+3
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave3
7Coral scored#4
33Coral points19
33Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +14
16Coral scored#18
59Coral points65
4Processor algae#4
4Net algae#6
24Processor points24
16Net points24
40Algae points48
99Total teleop113
Reef
9L4#9
6L3#5
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
148Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8513
#23
57.70.4
57.257.7
Auto19.7
Teleop29.9
End8.0
red by 6.0
1089
#11
51.60.4
50.951.4
Auto15.1
Teleop32.2
End4.3
Second
333
#4
36.00.4
35.636.0
Auto5.4
Teleop27.0
End3.7
red by 0.4
25
#12
35.60.4
34.935.3
Auto5.7
Teleop25.6
End4.3
Third
271
#18
14.80.4
14.314.8
Auto1.7
Teleop11.7
End1.3
blue by 5.5
20.30.7
19.219.9
Auto2.1
Teleop10.9
End7.3