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Red121
412249.6
363736.3
10228.5
Blue40
7543.3
436116.7
245816.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1429005020025030012140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+71Teleop
+79Endgame
+81Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave3
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points6
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +50
16Coral scored#5
57Coral points17
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
75Total teleop25
Reef
8L4#3
7L3#1
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#0
25Game pieces#8
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +81
2Foul points0
121Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4122
#20
49.60.1
49.749.8
Auto7.8
Teleop33.1
End8.6
red by 6.3
75
#14
43.30.9
44.243.3
Auto10.1
Teleop28.2
End5.1
Second
36.30.1
36.336.4
Auto7.6
Teleop21.1
End7.6
red by 19.5
4361
#28
16.70.9
17.616.7
Auto3.6
Teleop7.9
End5.2
Third
102
#15
28.50.1
28.628.7
Auto8.6
Teleop18.1
End1.8
red by 12.3
16.20.9
17.116.2
Auto3.4
Teleop9.7
End3.1