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Red92
201615.5
599228.2
71421.7
Blue188
691151.9
910022.8
181138.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6913205010015020092188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+34
Teleop+70
Endgame+72
Fouls+96
AutonomousBlue +34
6Leave3
0Coral scored#7
0Coral points37
6Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +36
13Coral scored#19
48Coral points68
1Processor algae#3
5Net algae#6
6Processor points18
20Net points24
26Algae points42
74Total teleop110
Reef
5L4#9
4L3#8
2L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +2
12Cage & park14
12Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +96
0Foul points24
92Total score188

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5992
#22
28.20.4
27.828.2
Auto2.5
Teleop25.5
End0.2
blue by 23.7
6911
#21
51.91.0
50.151.1
Auto13.3
Teleop32.0
End6.6
Second
714
#29
21.70.4
21.421.7
Auto8.8
Teleop11.5
End1.5
blue by 16.6
38.41.0
36.737.6
Auto7.1
Teleop28.1
End3.2
Third
2016
#10
15.50.4
15.115.5
Auto1.3
Teleop11.5
End2.8
blue by 7.3
9100
#13
22.81.0
21.122.1
Auto3.8
Teleop17.1
End1.9