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Red115
851357.7
27114.8
33336.0
Blue65
7543.3
436116.7
245816.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1379505015020025030011565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+64Teleop
+50Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave3
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +50
13Coral scored#6
48Coral points22
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
18Processor points6
24Net points12
42Algae points18
90Total teleop40
Reef
5L4#2
6L3#3
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +50
0Foul points0
115Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8513
#23
57.70.1
56.356.4
Auto19.7
Teleop29.9
End8.0
red by 14.3
75
#14
43.30.5
44.744.2
Auto10.1
Teleop28.2
End5.1
Second
333
#4
36.00.1
34.734.8
Auto5.4
Teleop27.0
End3.7
red by 19.3
4361
#28
16.70.5
18.117.6
Auto3.6
Teleop7.9
End5.2
Third
271
#18
14.80.1
13.413.5
Auto1.7
Teleop11.7
End1.3
blue by 1.4
16.20.5
17.517.1
Auto3.4
Teleop9.7
End3.1