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Red121
589577.0
162614.9
167652.0
Blue106
412249.6
363736.3
10228.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166130050100150200121106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+31Teleop
+21Endgame
+15Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points24
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +31
17Coral scored#8
61Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
75Total teleop44
Reef
7L4#3
7L3#4
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points6
121Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.00.4
75.575.1
Auto21.4
Teleop46.4
End9.2
red by 27.4
4122
#20
49.60.3
50.149.7
Auto7.8
Teleop33.1
End8.6
Second
52.00.4
50.450.0
Auto12.3
Teleop30.8
End8.8
red by 15.7
36.30.3
36.736.3
Auto7.6
Teleop21.1
End7.6
Third
1626
#17
14.90.4
13.413.0
Auto1.7
Teleop12.2
End0.9
blue by 13.6
102
#15
28.50.3
28.928.6
Auto8.6
Teleop18.1
End1.8